Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.329308 0.358482 0.389796 0.426028 0.466951 0.511916 0.565304
2025-07-13 0.286359 0.328374 0.376804 0.437317 0.511696 0.601185 0.718638
2025-07-20 0.260275 0.309379 0.368889 0.447513 0.550506 0.683553 0.873142
2025-07-27 0.239510 0.292588 0.359446 0.451760 0.579108 0.753726 1.021038
2025-08-03 0.217342 0.270978 0.340532 0.439877 0.582608 0.787953 1.121624
2025-08-10 0.198678 0.251883 0.322553 0.426400 0.580866 0.812603 1.209851
2025-08-17 0.184820 0.237879 0.309911 0.418568 0.585527 0.846239 1.317214
2025-08-24 0.173402 0.226224 0.299360 0.412350 0.591272 0.881422 1.432853
2025-08-31 0.163517 0.215934 0.289810 0.406460 0.596395 0.915555 1.552526
2025-09-07 0.157599 0.210819 0.287263 0.410843 0.618290 0.980958 1.746350
2025-09-14 0.149333 0.201736 0.278109 0.403847 0.620025 1.010092 1.871781
2025-09-21 0.143402 0.195710 0.273106 0.402995 0.632062 1.059728 2.053374
2025-09-28 0.134494 0.184974 0.260528 0.389201 0.620630 1.064435 2.138160
2025-10-05 0.131659 0.183277 0.261946 0.399086 0.653675 1.163741 2.484483
2025-10-12 0.128827 0.181381 0.262856 0.408083 0.686073 1.267638 2.881575
2025-10-19 0.125140 0.177912 0.260940 0.411832 0.708579 1.354017 3.264259
2025-10-26 0.118985 0.170218 0.251590 0.401336 0.701082 1.370090 3.438743
2025-11-02 0.113016 0.162547 0.241861 0.389418 0.689385 1.374360 3.577805
2025-11-09 0.108371 0.156804 0.235073 0.382485 0.687472 1.402448 3.811617
2025-11-16 0.104292 0.151798 0.229269 0.376976 0.688021 1.436949 4.085307
2025-11-23 0.100525 0.147143 0.223825 0.371755 0.688638 1.471853 4.378625
2025-11-30 0.098500 0.145269 0.223098 0.375640 0.710103 1.567222 4.974495
2025-12-07 0.094978 0.140751 0.217488 0.369438 0.707685 1.595427 5.292556